Home Truths

After the Covid-19 crisis broke, we forecast that New Zealand house prices...

15 Jun 2020 Housing

Go hard, go early, then go shopping

We have upgraded our activity, exchange rate and inflation forecasts in response...

15 Jun 2020 Weekly Commentary

Preview of NZ GDP and current account, Q1 2020

We expect a 1% drop in GDP for the March quarter. The lockdown in the last week of...

12 Jun 2020 Economic data and RBNZ

A little less bad, for now

The COVID hit to the economy over coming years is going to be very large...

08 Jun 2020 Weekly Commentary

NZ Dairy Update

Last night’s GlobalDairyTrade auction resulted in little change in the headline...

03 Jun 2020 Agri

How severe?

There was a definite bounce in the economy after the Alert Level 4 lockdown...

02 Jun 2020 Weekly Commentary

An impending double dip for the construction sector

The construction sector is currently springing back to life as the lockdown is...

26 May 2020 Research papers

A matter of when, not if

The Reserve Bank has succeeded in bringing interest rates down, but if it’s to...

25 May 2020 Weekly Commentary

A matter of when, not if – updated RBNZ forecasts

We now expect the RBNZ will reduce the OCR to -0.5% in April 2021...

21 May 2020 Economic data and RBNZ

NZ Dairy Update

Last night’s GlobalDairyTrade auction resulted in a slight rise in the headline...

20 May 2020 Agri

What Covid-19 means for New Zealand’s rental and leasing industry

The impact of Covid-19 on New Zealand’s rental and leasing sector has...

20 May 2020 Research papers

More QE, more spending, more debt

In response to the gale-force headwinds battering the economy, the past week...

18 May 2020 Weekly Commentary