NZ Terms of Trade review, Q1 2015

The terms of trade rose by 1.5% in the March quarter, similar to market forecasts...

02 Jun 2015 Economic data and RBNZ

Hold your horses

Markets are abuzz with the possibility that the RBNZ could cut the OCR at its...

02 Jun 2015 Weekly Commentary

Hold your horses - Outlook for the NZ OCR

A June cut in the OCR seems unlikely. Cuts later in the year are a very close call...

28 May 2015 Economic data and RBNZ

What’s been happening with inflation expectations?

The RBNZ’s has highlighted the importance of inflation expectations for upcoming...

26 May 2015 Research papers

The plot thickens

There has been plenty to mull over in the past week, including the recently...

25 May 2015 Weekly Commentary

New Zealand Government Budget 2015

The Government has maintained its operational spending plans in the face of...

21 May 2015 Economic data and RBNZ

Fortnightly Agri Update

In our latest quarterly Economic Overview we highlighted the perfect storm of...

20 May 2015 Agri

NZ Budget 2015 preview, May 2015

The 2015 Budget is likely to see a return to the theme of fiscal discipline after...

18 May 2015 Economic data and RBNZ

Tighty, loosey

The Reserve Bank has carried through on its recent call for “action to reduce housing...

18 May 2015 Weekly Commentary

NZ Budget 2015 First Impressions, May 2015

The 2015 Budget forecasts were much as expected, with low inflation weighing on...

15 May 2015 Economic data and RBNZ

NZ retail sales, Q1 2015

Real retail sales surged in the March quarter. The lift was unusually wide-spread...

14 May 2015 Economic data and RBNZ

Home Truths Special Edition

We propose an explanation for Auckland’s recent house price surge that matches the...

14 May 2015 Research papers, Housing