A difference of opinion

Financial markets are always eager to pick turning points in the economic cycle...

19 Feb 2018 Weekly Commentary

A short note on our GDP and OCR forecasts compared to the Reserve Bank's

Following a news article today, we thought we should clarify our thoughts on our GDP...

12 Feb 2018 Economic data and RBNZ

Stay on target

As widely expected, the Reserve Bank left the OCR unchanged and repeated its...

12 Feb 2018 Weekly Commentary

Review of the Feb 2018 Monetary Policy Statement

As expected, the RBNZ left the OCR unchanged and repeated its neutral...

08 Feb 2018 Economic data and RBNZ

NZ labour market review, Q4 2017 – All work, no pay

New Zealand’s unemployment rate fell to its lowest since 2008. But wage growth...

07 Feb 2018 Economic data and RBNZ

Fortnightly Agri Update

Export commodity prices have started 2018 on a firm footing thanks in part to the...

07 Feb 2018 Agri

Great moderation

Last week was fairly quiet, but the week ahead will be huge with a labour market...

05 Feb 2018 Weekly Commentary

NZ labour market preview, Q4 2017 – Unemployment declining

We expect a further drop in the unemployment rate to a nine-year low of...

02 Feb 2018 Economic data and RBNZ

Preview of the February 2018 Monetary Policy Statement

The past year has been one of unprecedented consistency from the RBNZ...

01 Feb 2018 Economic data and RBNZ

Industry Insight: International Education

This report focuses on the international education industry, which is concerned...

01 Feb 2018 Research papers, Industry

Dollar up, inflation down

With inflation surprising to the downside, we continue to expect that OCR hikes...

30 Jan 2018 Weekly Commentary

NZ CPI review Q4 2017

Consumer prices rose just 0.1% in the December quarter, with widespread...

25 Jan 2018 Economic data and RBNZ